Covid-19 Pandemic: US Could See A Peak Of 2,300 Deaths A Day And 38,000 To 160,000 Dead In Four Months

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Title : Covid-19 Pandemic: US Could See A Peak Of 2,300 Deaths A Day And 38,000 To 160,000 Dead In Four Months
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Covid-19 Pandemic: US Could See A Peak Of 2,300 Deaths A Day And 38,000 To 160,000 Dead In Four Months

The US death toll for the pandemic has already soared past 1,000, with 68,000 confirmed infections (AFP Photo/Angela Weiss)

SCMP/AFP: Coronavirus: US could see 2,300 deaths a day, even with social distancing, study says

* Analysis shows fatalities may top 80,000 over next four months, with ‘dramatically’ worse outcome if precautionary measures are relaxed
* Researchers at University of Washington’s Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation looked at latest Covid-19 data at local, national and international level

Covid-19 could lead to more than 80,000 deaths in the US and overwhelm hospital capacity nationally as soon as early April even if social distancing measures are respected, new research showed on Thursday.

The US death toll for the pandemic has already soared past 1,000, with 68,000 confirmed infections.

Forecasters at the Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation (IHME) at the University of Washington’s School of Medicine analysed the latest Covid-19 data at a local, national and international level.

This included hospitalisation and mortality rates, as well as patient date in terms of age, gender and pre-existing health problems.

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WNU Editor: Historically speaking. Pandemics that are highly infectious and very deadly to a segment of the population (like this one) can be very destructive. That is why I have no doubts that the Covid-19 coronavirus pandemic is going to kill a lot of people. The only thing that I do not know (nor does anyone else know) is how long will this pandemic continue, and how many people will die. I can only hope and pray that we do not end up like Northern Italy, or go through what Spain is going through right now.


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