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Title : New U.S. Model Predicts A Lower Coronavirus Death Number From White House Projections Of 100,000 To 240,000
link : New U.S. Model Predicts A Lower Coronavirus Death Number From White House Projections Of 100,000 To 240,000

New U.S. Model Predicts A Lower Coronavirus Death Number From White House Projections Of 100,000 To 240,000

SCMP: US coronavirus deaths may be lower than feared, new data suggests

* Experts at University of Washington estimate around 60,000 fatalities by August 4, lower than White House projections of 100,000 to 240,000
* New figure takes into account effects of social distancing in Italy, New York and California

Public health experts say information about the spread of the novel coronavirus through Texas and Florida in the next few days could be crucial in predicting how many Americans are likely to die from the pandemic.

The apparent effects of social distancing in three major hotspots – Italy, New York and California – have given scientists hope that the US death toll could be lower than White House projections of 100,000 to 240,000, which were based on a combination of models that administration officials have not fully explained.

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WNU Editor: The revised model created by the Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation (IHME) can be seen here .... New IHME COVID-19 forecasts find lower hospital bed need, epidemics starting to peak confirms social distancing works (IHME).

More News On U.S. Models Predicting A Lower Coronavirus Death Number

Key coronavirus model revised downward, predicts 60K deaths in US by August -- The Hill
US Coronavirus Death Toll To Peak In 3 Days, Total Overall Deaths Drop By 20,000 -- IBTimes
Revised coronavirus model predicts fewer deaths, but tens of thousands in US still expected to die by August -- CNN
IHME Again Lowers Coronavirus Death Projections -- ABC News
Updated COVID-19 projections are out: The new peak dates in each state -- Becker's Hospital Review

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