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Sweden is looking good (from IKN585)

Something of an Off-Topic for the Weekly, but this piece on Covid-19 and Sweden's ongoing response made last night's edition because 1) we got a lot of required but tedious Covid-19 business out the way in one edition yesterday and 2) Sweden is very interesting. Have a read.

Sweden is looking good

We end today’s regional politics section by leaving the region completely. Here’s an example of why Covid-19 executive decisions should be made by health experts, as even people with a grasp of statistics got this one very wrong. I know because I’m one of them, never commenting but often thinking that Sweden looked on the wrong path to combat Covid-19 in the early days of the pandemic’s sweep and even into the Northern summer. Epidemiologists know a lot more than I do about corona viruses, as seen in this July 29^threport:

As other countries face renewed outbreaks, Sweden’s latest Covid-19 figures suggest it’s rapidly bringing the virus under control.

“That Sweden has come down to these levels is very promising,” state epidemiologist Anders Tegnell told reporters in Stockholm on Tuesday.

The Health Agency of Sweden says that since hitting a peak in late June, the infection rate has fallen sharply. That’s amid an increase in testing over the period. “The curves are going down and the curves for the seriously ill are beginning to approach zero,” Tegnell said.

The development follows months of controversy over Sweden’s decision to avoid a full lockdown. The unusual strategy coincided with a much higher Covid-19 mortality rate than elsewhere in the Nordic region. Per 100,000, Swedish deaths even exceeded those in the U.S. and Brazil.

On Tuesday, Sweden reported two new deaths, bringing the total to 5,702.

Masks

Tegnell also broached the subject of face masks, which the World Health Organization recommends people use when social distancing isn’t possible.

“With numbers diminishing very quickly in Sweden, we see no point in wearing a face mask in Sweden, not even on public transport,” he said.

Tegnell has consistently argued that Sweden’s approach is more sustainable than the sudden lockdowns imposed elsewhere. With the risk that Covid-19 might be around for years, he says completely shutting down society isn’t a long-term option.

Then on August 5^th, this (29):

Sweden, which avoided a lockdown during the height of the Covid-19 pandemic, saw its economy shrink 8.6% in the April-to-June period from the previous three months.

The flash estimate from the Swedish statistics office indicated that the country had fared better than other EU nations which took stricter measures.

However, it was still the largest quarterly fall for at least 40 years.

The European Union saw a contraction of 11.9% for the same period.

As for this weekend, Sweden’s Saturday Covid-19 death toll stands at 5,763, so compare 61 more in the last eleven days to the tolls seen in The Americas in the same period (Canada doing better than nearly all, wash your hands and keep it that way). We also note a new rise in cases in Spain, France and other places, tentatively being labelled a second wave, that shouldn’t just worry other European countries.

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