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Title : This Pollster Is Saying This Is The Most Important Chart Of The 2020 US Presidential Election
link : This Pollster Is Saying This Is The Most Important Chart Of The 2020 US Presidential Election

This Pollster Is Saying This Is The Most Important Chart Of The 2020 US Presidential Election

Zero Hedge/Cascend: Cascend: "This Is The Most Important Chart Of The 2020 Election" 

This is the most important chart of the 2020 election: 

 * Trump starts with a less-stable base 

 * But 216 of 535 Electoral College votes are too close to call 

 * Let that sink in: 40% of Electoral College votes appear too close to conclusively call as of today 

 * Even if we assume that states with only a 2% or greater spread are set, 66 Electoral College votes are up-for-grabs 

 * 2% spread is well within margins of error – it’s really a toss-up 

 * Sentiment analysis suggests Biden may squeak by 

 * But swing states are really toss-ups and targeted action can drastically change this race 

Our methodology is very different from a traditional pollster: 

 * We utilize our proprietary consumer demand sentiment technology to elucidate trends in specific interests, much as we would measure brand activity 

 * In 2016 our models suggested an 80% chance that Donald Trump would win the general election versus Hillary Clinton 

 * Our models currently predict a much tighter race than in 2020 

 * However, the spreads are tighter in key states and public opinion is far more volatile in 2020 than in 2016 

Read more .... 

WNU Editor: I like their methodology. It is very different from how polls are being done today. They gave Donald Trump an 80% probability of winning in 2016, and in this election cycle they are predicting a very tight race. These results however are already out of date. They are from last week, and IMHO a lot has changed on the ground since then (i.e. President Trump's performance in the debate, Hunter Biden, etc.).

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