Title : Is Biden's Worldview That The U.S. Must Be Center Stage In Global Affairs Even Achievable?
link : Is Biden's Worldview That The U.S. Must Be Center Stage In Global Affairs Even Achievable?
Is Biden's Worldview That The U.S. Must Be Center Stage In Global Affairs Even Achievable?
Joe Biden visits U.S. troops in Kabul, Afghanistan, in 2011, when he was vice president. Biden has been highly critical of President Trump's foreign policy and says he'll work to improve frayed relations with many traditional U.S. partners. Dusan Vranic/AP
President Trump distilled his foreign policy into the phrase "America First." In practice, the result has often been friction with allies, withdrawal from international agreements and the scaling back of the leading international role the U.S. has played for generations.
President-elect Joe Biden wants to restore a more traditional U.S. posture: warmer relations with longstanding partners, a recommitment to organizations like NATO, and a U.S. that's once again front-and-center on the global stage.
"The world does not organize itself," Biden wrote in a lengthy article in Foreign Affairs in March. "For 70 years, the United States, under Democratic and Republican presidents, played a leading role in writing the rules, forging the agreements, and animating the institutions that guide relations among nations and advance collective security and prosperity — until Trump."
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WNU Editor: If you want to be center stage in global affairs you must put the money, effort, energy, focus, and presence to make it happen. Does Joe Biden have that within him to make that happen? Maybe 10 years ago he had it. But today, many in the world see what I see. A man who is old, suffering cognitive difficulties, and only appears to be busy for a few hours a day.
But even with these limitations, there is a team behind Biden, and this is what I expect from a Biden administration when it comes to international relations and global affairs.
The hope in Europe is that the U.S. under Biden will reverse Trump's insistence that its allies must pay their "fair share" in defense procurement. If what I am reading and hearing from Biden's campaign and transition team .... they are not going to pressure NATO allies to keep to their promises.
The U.S. will join the Paris Accords, thereby hurting its economy in the middle of a pandemic, and it will join WHO without insisting that it reform itself to avoid a repeat of its disastrous and slow response to the coronavirus pandemic.
I would not be surprised if in the coming months we start to hear that there are talks between Iran and the U.S.. And after that the removal of some sanctions.
The U.S. military presence in the Middle East will increase, and the process for the final withdrawal of the remaining U.S. military forces in Afghanistan will be reversed.
Not mentioned in the above report is Africa. President Trump made the decision in September to downsize Africom, the official Pentagon's presence in Africa. That decision is going to be reversed.
A reversal of Trump policy when it comes to Cuba. The removal of some sanctions on Venezuela.
On China I expect the Biden administration will cave in to China's insistence that their trade deal done with Trump be re-negotiated. A Biden administration will also avoid any mention of the labour camps in Xinjiang, and it will pull-back from President Trump's efforts to form an Asian alliance to face China by focusing instead on strengthen bilateral security/military arrangements with it's allies. I think this pulling-back in efforts to put together an Asian alliance to face Chinese aggression will be seen years later as a huge strategic mistake by the U.S..
On the issue of North Korea, President Trump and North Korean leader Kim Jong-un always maintained a line of communications between each other even with all of their differences. That line is going to be cut-off.
On the issue of Russia, I expect a worsening of relations under a Biden administration. START will be renewed for another five years, but aside from that, I do not see anyone in the incoming Biden administration having a clue on what is happening in Russia right now. And what is worse. Are not interested to even know.
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