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Title : How The Crisis On The Polish - Belarus Border Can Escalate Into A War
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How The Crisis On The Polish - Belarus Border Can Escalate Into A War

Fears are growing of an imminent conflict in eastern Europe as Russia and Belarus carry out snap military drills close to where a migrant crisis is playing out on Poland's border, while Washington warns Putin is preparing to invade eastern Ukraine  

Defense One: Belarus Is Laying Tinder for a War. How Will NATO Respond? 

The weaponization of migrants shows how gray-zone tactics flummox an alliance set up to deal with conventional or nuclear attacks. 

Belarus Is Laying Tinder for a War. How Will NATO Respond? 

If you wanted to cause a war, here’s a formula with high odds of success. Send thousands of migrants to your border, have your border force try to push them into a neighboring country, and fire warning shots when your neighbor’s soldiers try to keep the migrants out. In such a tense situation, the other country’s soldiers might misinterpret the shots and fire back. At Belarus’s border with Poland, such an accidental conflict is now a concrete risk. What will NATO do if it comes to pass? 

“The potential for escalation is extremely high,” Estonia’s defence minister, Kalle Laanet, told a defense conference on Nov. 10. 

Read more .... 

WNU Editor: It looks like Belarus wants to escalate this crisis .... Belarus moving more troops to Polish border (Defence Blog) 

Update: I have not seen this level of military tensions on the borders since 2014 .... Deadly game of cat and mouse in the skies over Europe: Video shows RAF jet intercepting Russian bomber as it heads towards British airspace as as tensions rise in Belarus amid fears of Ukraine invasion (Daily Mail). More here .... US jets intercepted by Russia as Moscow complains about 'aggressive military activity in the Black Sea region' - and tensions remain high over exercises on the border with Ukraine (Daily Mail).

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