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Title : German Spy Chief Warns Russia Has What It Needs To Wage A Long War
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German Spy Chief Warns Russia Has What It Needs To Wage A Long War

DW: German spy chief sees no 'cracks' in Putin system 

Disputes in Russian society do not pose a threat to Vladimir Putin's government, says Bruno Kahl, head of Germany's foreign intelligence service. 

He argues Moscow has enough recruits and equipment for the war. Bruno Kahl, the head of the German Intelligence Agency (BND), said on Monday that he does not see any weakening of Russian President Vladimir Putin's rule. 

"We see no cracks in the Putin system," Kahl said at the Federal Academy for Security Policy (BAKS).  

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Update #1: Failures in Ukraine haven't left 'cracks' in Putin's hold on power, German spy chief says, warning Russia has what it needs to wage a long war (Insider)  

Update #2: Russia still capable of waging protracted war, no cracks visible in Putin’s system – German intel (Euromaidan Press) 

 WNU editor: The expectation in Russia right now is that this is going to be a long war. 

How long? 

A few days ago the head of The Wagner Group Yevgeny Prigozhin said it was going to take up to one to one and a half years before Ukraine forces are defeated in the Donbas. Other Russian pundits are saying that because the Kremlin is waging an attrition war against Ukraine (and the West), the war is going to take 3 to 4 years. 

As to what is my take. 

Last year I said the war was going to last into the final months of 2024.  I am now going to revise it to the spring of 2025.

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